DATE

BC Loan Program

BC Loan Program Adding to Overheated Condo Market

Steve Saretsky -

Over 400 Applicants Added to Overheated Condo Market

Throughout history Governments have always fumbled the ball when handling housing crises. This one in Vancouver is no different, it’s the same old story- reactive vs proactive.

Remember just a few short months ago when the BC government’s first time buyer loan scheme was announced, I called it a colossal failure. Enticing the wrong type of buyers into an overheated market at exactly the wrong time. Providing further stimulus to push prices higher.

Since the program began January 16, 432 applicants in Metro Vancouver have been approved. The result, more buyers competing for fewer and fewer listings.
Multiple offers are rampant, so far in March, 54% of Vancouver East condos have sold over asking price, 53% in Richmond, and 46% in Vancouver West and Burnaby. Prices are hitting new highs.

For context there were a total of 2106 apartment sales in Metro Vancouver in January and February combined, if those 432 applicants were successful in purchasing that would equate to 20% of the market. Simple math, far from perfect, but you get the idea.

So while CMHC and the Bank of Canada are discouraging over leveraged buyers the government is enticing them.

The program allows first time buyers to put down as little as 2.5%, the BC government will then match the other 2.5% adding up to a whopping 5% down. Of course should any of these buyers get into financial difficulty BC tax payers will likely be on the hook, unless prices rise. For example, if a buyer is struggling with payments two years in, and the market is down 5-10% not only will it wipe out any equity but the time selling costs are added, the BC government registered as a second mortgage, will not be paid out and the losses will be come at the expense of taxpayers.

Anyone still convinced this actually helps first time buyers?

Sellers are making out like bandits. The few who capitalize on this once in a lifetime opportunity anyways.

Join the Monday Newsletter

Every Monday morning you'll receive a short and entertaining round-up of news on the Vancouver & Canadian Real Estate markets.

"*" indicates required fields

The Canadian Economy

Steve Saretsky -

Happy Monday Morning! We got a string of new data this past week confirming inflation in consumer goods, and housing are proving to be more than transitory. Canada’s consumer price index continued to drift higher with prices hitting an 18 year high, up 4.7% from last October. The recent floods in BC...

Steve Saretsky -

The calls for impending interest rate hikes continues. CIBC’s chief economist, Benjamin Tal, was out recently suggesting the Bank of Canada could hike its benchmark interest rate at least six times beginning in early 2022. “I think there is a risk of getting into the market at today’s rates,” noted Tal....

Steve Saretsky -

The BC Government announced it is looking at several cooling measures for the housing market in 2022. They have highlighted two measures. The first is an end to the blind bidding process, and the other is a mandatory “cooling off period” which will allow any buyer a 7 day recession...

Steve Saretsky -

The Bank of Canada continues to slowly drain liquidity after flooding the system with a firehose of cash during the pandemic. Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem announced the end of Canada’s QE program (also known as money printing). Furthermore, in Macklems words, “We expect to begin increasing our policy...

Steve Saretsky -

Consumer price inflation ripped higher in September, surging 4.4% year-over-year, the fastest pace of price increases in 18 years. Let’s discuss this further. We have an inflation problem and the Bank of Canada remains of the view that inflation will be transitory. Although they really can’t say otherwise, for if...

Get the Saretsky Report to your email every month

The Saretsky Report. December 2022