DATE

Steve Saretsky -

With early cracks beginning to emerge in the Canadian Real Estate market, national home sales declined 17% year over year in February, bulls and bears alike are trying to predict what lies ahead. While the reality is nobody can predict with any degree of accuracy, there remains many hypothetical scenarios. One of which has been gaining some traction. Are Canadian officials gearing up for a weaker loonie & would it cushion house prices? A weaker loonie would allow Canada to beef up exports in the event of a recession, while simultaneously importing substantial amounts of inflation. While this devaluation and inflation of the currency would have many consequences, including the destruction of savers purchasing power, it would keep interest payments in cheque and house prices more buoyant. The devaluation of the currency has already been happening for decades, most Canadians just haven’t clued in. For example, over the past couple years Vancouver house prices have surged nearly 50% in Canadian dollars, but they’ve gone virtually nowhere when priced in gold. This can also be seen in Canada’s M2 money supply which is the total amount of money in circulation (including cash, savings/ chequing accounts, deposits, etc). Ultimately, the increase of inflation

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The Canadian Economy

Steve Saretsky -

With early cracks beginning to emerge in the Canadian Real Estate market, national home sales declined 17% year over year in February, bulls and bears alike are trying to predict what lies ahead. While the reality is nobody can predict with any degree of accuracy, there remains many hypothetical scenarios....

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The Saretsky Report. December 2022