DATE

Vancouver Bidding Wars Disappear as Nervous Buyers Hit the Sidelines

Steve Saretsky -

It seems not long ago the Vancouver Real Estate market was mired in a frenzy, a widespread panic ensued over rising home prices and buyers eagerly bid up prices in emotional bidding wars.

According to a CMHC report released in June 2017, 55% of Metro Vancouver respondents confessed to engaging in a bidding war to secure their recent home purchase. A behaviour which award winning economist Robert Schiller likens to “irrational exuberance”.

However, those days appear to be a thing of the past. With the abrupt shift in the housing market having pushed sales to an eighteen year low through the first nine months of this year. The fear of missing out has turned to a sense of nervousness as potential buyers fear home prices could slide further in the months ahead.

This appears to be reflecting in the MLS data from the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver. The data shows the number of listings across Greater Vancouver which sold above the asking price has slid from a peak of 51% in April 2016 to just 11% this September.

Vancouver real estate bidding wars
Percent of Greater Vancouver homes sold above asking price.

While 11% still sounds high, it’s worth noting that even during the bear markets of 2008 and 2012, the number of listings sold above the asking price was still at 9%. What this metric doesn’t account for is all the listings lingering on the market going no bid. And perhaps accounts for the few listings which are sometimes offloaded in a fire sale.

By all accounts it appears both detached homes and condos have plunged from their recent highs. While detached homes currently sit at 11%, Greater Vancouver condos have recently dropped to just 12%.

This slowdown has also emerged in the Fraser Valley where the market has come to a screeching halt. Particularly in the number of condos selling over the asking price which has plunged from a once red hot 63% in March of this year down to just 10% in September.

Fraser Valley condo bidding wars
Fraser Valley condos sold above the asking price drops to 10% in September.

While headlines of euphoric bidding wars once helped stoke the flames of a mania, one can’t help but notice the now growing chorus of negative sentiment drifting into the market.

Vancouver bidding wars
Vancouver bidding wars once rampant have now disappeared.

 

Join the Monday Newsletter

Every Monday morning you'll receive a short and entertaining round-up of news on the Vancouver & Canadian Real Estate markets.

"*" indicates required fields

The Canadian Economy

Steve Saretsky -

Happy Monday Morning! We got a string of new data this past week confirming inflation in consumer goods, and housing are proving to be more than transitory. Canada’s consumer price index continued to drift higher with prices hitting an 18 year high, up 4.7% from last October. The recent floods in BC...

Steve Saretsky -

The calls for impending interest rate hikes continues. CIBC’s chief economist, Benjamin Tal, was out recently suggesting the Bank of Canada could hike its benchmark interest rate at least six times beginning in early 2022. “I think there is a risk of getting into the market at today’s rates,” noted Tal....

Steve Saretsky -

The BC Government announced it is looking at several cooling measures for the housing market in 2022. They have highlighted two measures. The first is an end to the blind bidding process, and the other is a mandatory “cooling off period” which will allow any buyer a 7 day recession...

Steve Saretsky -

The Bank of Canada continues to slowly drain liquidity after flooding the system with a firehose of cash during the pandemic. Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem announced the end of Canada’s QE program (also known as money printing). Furthermore, in Macklems words, “We expect to begin increasing our policy...

Steve Saretsky -

Consumer price inflation ripped higher in September, surging 4.4% year-over-year, the fastest pace of price increases in 18 years. Let’s discuss this further. We have an inflation problem and the Bank of Canada remains of the view that inflation will be transitory. Although they really can’t say otherwise, for if...

Get the Saretsky Report to your email every month

The Saretsky Report. December 2022