DATE

Are We Already In A Recession? The Loonie Hour Episode 38

Steve Saretsky -

Latest data from the Atlanta Fed is suggesting we might already be in a recession. Meanwhile, home sales continue to slow in suburban housing markets, and stresses are rising in the corporate bond market with spreads widening to levels last seen in 2018 when the Fed was forced to pivot. Happy Canada Day Loonie Hour Community! Listen to The Loonie Hour on your favourite podcast platform: The Loonie Hour on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4vA4m1d9RVo9KitszSHzN0 The Loonie Hour on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-loonie-hour/id1591470469 Loonie Hour Website: thelooniehour.ca #TheLoonieHour #Macroeconomics #PersonalFinanceCanada

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The Canadian Economy

Mohit Chawla -

Home sales are bouncing back to life across Canada. Calgary Real Estate prices hit new record highs. The banking crisis is far from over as contagion risks start to spread. The Fed hikes rates another 25bps but a pause appears likely. Markets are calling for rate cuts as soon as this...

Mohit Chawla -

The housing market continues to turn higher, yet wages are actually rolling over. Latest data shows wage growth is now sharply negative in real terms. Banking issues in the US have not gone away. The Bank of Canada is fully expecting a recession. CN Rail says the recession is already...

Mohit Chawla -

Headline inflation falls to 4.2% in March. National house prices are back on the rise with housing starts still falling. Government employees striking across the nation as the cost of living crisis persists, potentially entrenching higher wage inflation. Former head of the Conservative Party Erin O’Toole joins the show.

Mohit Chawla -

The Bank of Canada kept interest rates on hold while raising GDP growth forecasts. Meanwhile, land loans to developers have completely evaporated, sowing the seeds for a supply crunch years down the road. CPI in the US eases but core inflation is proving to be sticky. Warren Buffett takes a surprise...

Steve Saretsky -

Sweeping policy changes are coming on the housing supply front in Vancouver. Meanwhile, TD Bank has become the worlds most shorted bank stock, facing $3.7B of short interest. Is this the end of the US Dollar? Dutch Farmers Revolt ! 

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The Saretsky Report. December 2022