Source: Acorn Macro, Richard Dias<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\nAnyways, this will all take time to filter through the real economy. Credit origination has slowed dramatically, housing transactions remain below historical averages, and new development projects are going down for the dirtnap. It\u2019s not easy to turn this around on a dime either, many of these developments take years of planning. Let\u2019s not forget that the Bank of Canada just \u201cunpaused\u201d their rate hiking crusade, and bond yields are climbing once again. In other words, this is going to get worse before it gets better.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The supply policy makers so desperately talk about will end up becoming another broken promise. Ironically, our population just surpassed 40 million people this week. Congrats everyone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Thankfully we have a decent amount of supply under construction in the pipeline today, maybe just enough to get us through this cycle. But make no mistake, we will still be talking about a housing crisis five years from now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It\u2019s true house prices have held up well so far, but let\u2019s not forget banks have been deferring interest payments en masse and new listings coming to market have been hovering near twenty year lows, neither of which is unlikely to be sustained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The recent credit slump should serve as a caution sign ahead.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Happy Monday Morning! As mentioned in last weeks note, the great big housing boom is over. You see housing booms need credit, lots of it, to keep the wheels churning. The single largest driver of home prices over the past few years has been cheap and abundant credit. When money is basically free you tend to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11123,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
Credit Slump - Steve Saretsky<\/title>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\n\n\n\n\n\t\n\t\n\t\n