DATE

Mortgage risk in Vancouver

Risky Mortgages Mounting In Vancouver

Steve Saretsky -

Vancouver Homeowners Adding More Leverage

A recent report from the good folks over at Better Dwelling titled Vancouver Mortgages are Rapidly Deteriorating in Quality highlights growing concerns of subprime, and over leveraged homeowners.

High-ratio mortgages with low income levels continues to grow. With home prices surging, Vancouverites are leveraging up. High ratio mortgages with loan to incomes greater than 450% are up 25% over the past two years. Risky mortgage debt now sits at 39% in Vancouver.

Fuelling the Fire

It’s no wonder CMHC’s Evan Siddall was so vocal against the BC Government’s HOME Partnership program, which entices high risk first time buyers with interest free, and payment free loans for the first 5 years.  In a recent report from The Tyee Siddall ripped the ill advised program.

“You will know we are holding our noses firmly on this and I would not want any other [provinces and territories] to be misled into thinking this ill-advised program represents good public policy.

Siddall believes the B.C. government’s claim that the program would make home ownership more affordable for thousands of British Columbians was wrong. “I am joined by a loud chorus of economists in insisting that it will do the exact opposite.”

Crushing Affordability

The BC government originally expected to issue an astounding 2778 loans by March 31. The fact they believed it would be a good idea to add nearly 2800 additional buyers to an overheated market is truly frightening. For context, from January to March there was a grand total of 5246 apartment sales.

With condo prices surging year over year by 33% in Langley, 36% in Abbotsford and 27% in Surrey handing out taxpayer money to use towards bidding wars is the last thing this market needs.

Like this post? Get my best work sent to your inbox here.

Join the Monday Newsletter

Every Monday morning you'll receive a short and entertaining round-up of news on the Vancouver & Canadian Real Estate markets.

"*" indicates required fields

The Canadian Economy

Steve Saretsky -

Happy Monday Morning! We got a string of new data this past week confirming inflation in consumer goods, and housing are proving to be more than transitory. Canada’s consumer price index continued to drift higher with prices hitting an 18 year high, up 4.7% from last October. The recent floods in BC...

Steve Saretsky -

The calls for impending interest rate hikes continues. CIBC’s chief economist, Benjamin Tal, was out recently suggesting the Bank of Canada could hike its benchmark interest rate at least six times beginning in early 2022. “I think there is a risk of getting into the market at today’s rates,” noted Tal....

Steve Saretsky -

The BC Government announced it is looking at several cooling measures for the housing market in 2022. They have highlighted two measures. The first is an end to the blind bidding process, and the other is a mandatory “cooling off period” which will allow any buyer a 7 day recession...

Steve Saretsky -

The Bank of Canada continues to slowly drain liquidity after flooding the system with a firehose of cash during the pandemic. Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem announced the end of Canada’s QE program (also known as money printing). Furthermore, in Macklems words, “We expect to begin increasing our policy...

Steve Saretsky -

Consumer price inflation ripped higher in September, surging 4.4% year-over-year, the fastest pace of price increases in 18 years. Let’s discuss this further. We have an inflation problem and the Bank of Canada remains of the view that inflation will be transitory. Although they really can’t say otherwise, for if...

Get the Saretsky Report to your email every month

The Saretsky Report. December 2022